The National Hurricane Center has labeled 91L to the area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean. There is a low chance of tropical development over the next 5 days, however regardless of anything organized, 91L looks to bring some much needed rain to some parts of the western gulf coast.
The exact trajectory of the deepest tropical moisture remains in question but someone will see multiple inches. Timing for the heaviest rains look to be this coming weekend.
National Hurricane Center:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
western Caribbean Sea is associated with a trough of low pressure.
This area of disturbed weather is expected to move westward to
northwestward over Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula during
the next couple of days, and little development is expected during
that time due to unfavorable upper-level winds. Environmental
conditions could become slightly more conducive for some development
when the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the
end of the week. Regardless of development, this disturbance will
likely produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of Nicaragua,
Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula through
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.