Chances are slowly increasing for some form of tropical development to occur over the Caribbean this weekend. The pattern says the Gulf remains open due to the lack of fronts incoming. Way too early to talk exacts in terms of what strength and where it will go.
At this time, everyone from Texas to Florida should monitor the weather closely. Even the time frame is wide open, ranging from Tuesday night to next weekend.
Just be aware the signals are there for a system to be in the Gulf come early next week.
Just an idea for support, here are last night’s European model ensemble forecasts…all indicating tropical formation is becoming a good possibility.