The National Hurricane Center has given our “hybrid low” in the northeast Gulf of Mexico a 10% chance of tropical development. Regardless of any development, rain chances will be on the increase across south Louisiana over the next 24 hours as it slides from east to west along the coast.
No significant development is expected, but some areas could receive upwards of 5 or 6 inches of rainfall IF any training of heavy rains sits over one particular area for any prolonged period of time.
Radar this afternoon does show some signs of “banding” as well….
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending
from the north-central Gulf of Mexico across the western Florida
panhandle is associated with a broad area of low pressure and
associated surface trough. Close proximity to land should prevent
significant development of this system before it moves westward and
inland over southeastern Louisiana on Tuesday. Regardless of
development, this system is forecast to produce locally heavy
rainfall along portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next
couple of days. Additional information on this system can be found
in products issued by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.