Moving through June, activity does slowly increase as we can see here with this morning’s outlook from the National Hurricane Center.
Finally some tropical activity to monitor over the Atlantic! MDR system has a higher probability of genesis compared to Gulf threat via EPS pic.twitter.com/MJhHliEDLs
— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) June 14, 2017
Both of these areas will require watching over the next 5 days, however, computer guidance is showing no trends in support for either disturbance.
Our system in the Atlantic is quite a ways away, but is being watched by the National Hurricane Center. As of right now, there is a 20% chance of development over the next 5 days. There’s not really anything to add on this one, we will just have to wait and see.
As for the one closer to home, models are still all over the place as far as where it will go – if it will even form at all. At this time it’s looking like a rain maker for the most part, but we all know how these Gulf systems can be so you can bet we’ll be watching it very closely over the next week to 10 days.