Stormy Weather Ahead Through Tuesday, Latest on the Tropics

Rain, rain, go away…

Well, you can pretty much take the image above and apply it every day through Tuesday. Precipitable water values (a measure of how much moisture is available to produce precipitation) are around 2 inches. For reference:

0.50 inches or less = very low moisture content
0.50 to 1.25 inches = low moisture content
1.25 to 1.75 inches = moderate moisture content
1.75 to 2.00 inches = high moisture content
2.00 inches or above = very high moisture content

This combined with high temperatures will aid in producing our afternoon thunderstorms we all know and love each summer. These storms will be tropical in nature, so waterspouts and tropical funnels are likely each day over water, while heavy rainfall and localized street flooding are our main threats inland.

What do we know about the remnants of Tropical Storm Beatriz?

Not much…

Models are having a hard time picking up on this system as it enters the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Some models show the low spinning up, but our more reliable models (GFS and EURO) are shying away from this solution. Generally it could end up bringing us more rain in the long term, but it’s hard to tell what exactly will happen. Stay tuned.

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